Projected BCS race for #2

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by islstl, Nov 13, 2004.

  1. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    ...................AP..............Coaches.....KM...JS...RB...ST..PW..WC...
    OU........1540.. .948.....1440... .944....2.....2.....1.....1....1.....1.....990 = .961
    Auburn...1530. .942.....1430.... .938....3....3.....3......3....4.....3.....920 = .933

    If Auburn falls just short of being 2nd in the BCS, they can single-handedly thank Notre Dame for that. Tennessee's loss to Notre Dame was crucial in preventing Auburn from overtaking OU in at least a couple of the computer polls. Also, Notre Dame loses to Pitt today hurts USC's chance of overtaking OU in the polls in which OU is #1. It's exactly how OU would have wanted it.
     
  2. philter

    philter Founding Member

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    Do you have the forumla from last year? I'd like to see how the old computer SOS would have impacted AU's chances - seeing as how OU may play a 5 loss team in their championship.
     
  3. conradj

    conradj Founding Member

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    islstl...since you understand that stuff pretty well:

    Can AU pass up OU if both stay undefeated?
     
  4. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Auburn is on the same exact path as LSU from last year. All of their SOS is coming very late in the season. But the Tennessee loss to ND is just too much to overcome I am afraid. Had Tennessee not lost, they would have been ranked in the top 4-8 of every computer poll going into the SEC CG. And it would have been more impressive in the human polls as well to be playing a top 5 team in the SEC CG instead of what appears to be a top 13 team at best.
     
  5. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    This is the best projections I can see for Auburn in the computer polls:

    ..............KM. ..JS...RB...ST..PW..WC...
    OU...........2.....2.....1.....3....1.....1....= .980
    Auburn.....3.....3.....2.....1....3.....2.... = .940

    This means Auburn has to overtake OU in both human polls by about 35 points.
     
  6. KTeamLSU

    KTeamLSU Founding Member

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    Is the AP in love with Auburn, if so they can still win a share of the title like USC, but with the media on its hands and knees for USC, I dont think they show any love to AU, and its a travesty that an undefeated SEC teams doesnt get a shot at a NC because the media doesnt want to drop its precious pre season orange bowl teams.
     
  7. Mr. Peabody

    Mr. Peabody Founding Member

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    Don't you hate even having to try and figure out all of this $hit?

    Give us a playoff system. :dis:
     
  8. goldengirlfan

    goldengirlfan simple man

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    Amen brother, Amen. :thumb:
     
  9. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    no doubt.

    Look at this year. I think USC playing Cal and OU playing Auburn in the regular BCS bowl games and then the winners playing a championship game would be so nice.

    But oh well.
     
  10. DarkHornet

    DarkHornet Louisiana Sports Fan

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    I don't think Auburn catches OU in the computers, the OOC for Auburn is almost exactly like LSU's last year, and this time I think USC and Oklahoma played slightly tougher schedules. The real question is will the humans step up and make a bold statement?
     

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