Definitive List of Games that affect the BCS

Definitive List of Games that can help/hurt LSU's BCS ranking

OK, I'm about done with the BCS thinking until after Friday's game, but I wanted to finalize this list of games that are being played this week and next... I've highlighted the teams that, if they win, help LSU in the BCS rankings, but I'm not sure it's 100% complete and/or accurate.

Note that games that have both teams grayed out are ones that I currently think have no bearing on USC's or LSU's BCS rankings, but I included all of the games in case I'm wrong and one of you knows better:

Code:

(All times Eastern)
[b][i]THURSDAY - NOVEMBER 27[/b][/i]
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] 7:45	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Mississippi[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Mississippi State

[b][i]FRIDAY - NOVEMBER 28[/b][/i]
[COLOR=gray]11:00	Louisville at Cincinnati[/COLOR]
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] noon [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Nebraska[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Colorado
[COLOR=gray]12:00	Ohio at Marshall[/color]
[COLOR=gray]1:00	Miami OH at UCF[/color]
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] 2:30	Arkansas at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]:lsug:[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 3:00	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Arizona[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Arizona State
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] 3:30	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Texas[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Texas A&M

[b][i]SATURDAY - NOVEMBER 29[/b][/i]
[COLOR=gray]12:00	Toledo at Bowling Green[/color]
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] 12:00	Syracuse at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Rutgers[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 12:30	Tennessee at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Kentucky[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] 1:00	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Georgia[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Georgia Tech
[COLOR=green][b]ok[/b][/COLOR] 1:00	Virginia Tech at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Virginia[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=gray]1:00	Iowa State at Missouri[/color]
[COLOR=gray]1:00	Temple at West Virginia[/color]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 2:00	South Florida at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Memphis[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 2:00	UNLV at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Wyoming[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=gray]2:00	Southern Miss at East Carolina[/color]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 3:00	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Nevada[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Boise State
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 3:00	TCU at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]SMU[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 3:00	Rice at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Louisiana Tech[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=red][b]X [/b][/COLOR] 3:30	Florida State at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]Florida[/b][/i][/COLOR]
[COLOR=gray]3:30	Maryland at Wake Forest[/color]
5:00	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]UAB[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Houston
5:00	Fresno State at [COLOR=indigo][b][i]UTEP[/b][/i][/COLOR]
7:45	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Alabama[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Hawaii
8:00	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Notre Dame[/b][/i][/COLOR] at Stanford
8:00	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Miami FL at Pittsburgh[/b][/i][/COLOR]  [b][size=1]  * see [url=http://www.tigerforums.com/showthread.php?s=&postid=67518#post68353]this post[/url] for explanation of this game[/size][/b]

[b][i]Next Week's Games[/b][/i]
	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Oregon State[/b][/i][/COLOR] vs. USC
	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Syracuse[/b][/i][/COLOR] vs. Notre Dame
	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Boise State[/b][/i][/COLOR] vs. Hawaii
	[COLOR=indigo][b][i]Oklahoma[/b][/i][/COLOR] vs. Kansas State

 

Here are some others that don't affect our SOS but might affect USC's (and, of course, who we should pull for to negatively affect USC's SOS):

ND over Stanford (USC played both, but more of USC's opponents played Stanford, so Stanford's loss hurts USC's Opp-Opp record more)
Rutgers over Syracuse
Wyoming over UNLV
Nevada over Boise St.
Oklahoma over KSU in Big XII Champ. (Bama played OU)

Including a potential LSU vs. ___ in the SECC game, that's a total of 22 games of 33 left in Div. 1-A that will have a factor in deciding who plays for the national championship.

 

Thanks... my intention was to indicate all games that help LSU's chances of reaching #2, so games that hurt USC's rankings are definitely wanted!

I've edited the list of games to match what you've suggested...

 

Nebraska over Colorado
- Colorado plays UCLA, Washington State

Memphis over South Florida
- South Florida plays Alabama, Memphis plays Ole Miss and Miss State. This would be a net of plus one to our Opp-Opp

UTEP over Fresno State
- Fresno State plays La Tech, Oregon State, Hawaii. UTEP plays Arizona, La Tech, Hawaii. It would be 2-1 to LSU and 2-2 to USC for Opp-Opp. that would be +1 for LSU.

 

Thanks, DarkHornet... I've updated the list.

 

why ole miss over miss state?

 

I know this is based strictly on SOS, but I'm not sure it's better for us for Miami to win. If Pittsburgh beats Miami, Miami is taken out of the Top 10, and increases the likelihood that if Georgia loses, they'll still stay in the top 10. Plus it makes it easier for Florida to pass Tennessee.

 

Not sure, to be honest. I based the list mostly on other lists. I'd imagine that it could be because having a win over ranked team like Ole Miss is more important than a win over Mississippi State. We've played them both, so it may not make a difference, but since Ole Miss will probably win anyway I'm not sure it's worth spending tons of time on!

 

Good point... anyone else disagree before I change it?