Whoever is pres. will have to keep govt. spending high. Consumers are tapped out and are cutting back on spending. Corp. american profits are falling, they are laying people off in droves and cutting back on spending, and the only entitiy left that can spend enough to keep the economy plugging along is the govt. Shades of the 30's.
Only taxes Obama is proposing to increase is on the rich (over 250K). It worked well in the early 90's. Bush I increased taxes because the deficit got to 350 Billion a year, so he broke his 88 campaign pledge and raised taxes on everyone. Cost him the election, but he was honorable and did the right thing for the nation. He protected the value of the dollar by helping bring down the budget deficit, and that warded off a return to inflation. The Reagan tax cuts in 82 were not a panacea to the economy in the long run.
Then Clinton followed up with another tax increase, only on the rich, in 93. It didn't hurt the economy, and helped produce the first balanced budget in 40 years, by the late 90's.
Raising taxes is not an immediate downer for the economy. The key is "who you raise taxes on". If the person whose taxes go up makes plenty of money and saves it, then spending in the economy will not go down. A tax increase on the wealthy does not have a negative impact on the economy. Under Clinton, I did not go into a higher tax bracket, but I did begin to lose partial deductions that I previously had full use of. My tax bill went up. Nothing changed for me, except I saved at a slightly lower rate. I spent just the same. I was happy to help the country balance its budget. We need to increase taxes on the rich, and Warren Buffet knows it too.
We all know that the unfunded liabilities 20 years out for medicare and mediciad is 3 times bigger than the social security problem. We cannot afford those expenses for all 3. What's going to happen? I think some taxes must go up, some benefits will be trimmed (social security will be means tested and if your retirement income is too high you won't get SS or you'll get a reduced benefit). That won't solve all the problem. We are seeing inflation in the dollar, and I think we'll see LOTS more. We could see burger flippers making 100K per year, and paying 30K in taxes. Engineers will make 500K per year and pay 200K in taxes. All houses could cost at least 1 million per year. At those wage and tax rates, we could easily pay the SS benefits promised under todays scheduled payment plans. And, your standard of living will be lower than it is today. Your million dollar house will be 1,000 sq ft. Now, obviously I don't know if that's how it will go; maybe it won't. But try looking 20 years into the future, and figure how you're going to position yourself to deal with that world. Is the rest of the world going to have to inflate their currencies to deal with similar issues? Then investing in foreign bonds may not help you. There is gold, which works well in inflationary scenarios. We had a 23 year bear market in gold from 78 to 01, and been on a 7 year bull market since 01. Will it be a 15 or 20 year bull market in gold? I don't know, but I'm holding my coins. I sold a few at 750 and 950, looking to buy some back if we see 650 or 550.
I don't accept the statement at face value that increased taxes are bad. That's too simple a view. It depends who the tax is on, and how high it is. The real problem is the massive deficit. It has killed the dollar when you combine is with the trade deficit.
Bush got both tax cut plans he wanted in 01 and 03, look at the economy now. Why would anyone think we're on the correct path proposing more tax cuts. They have not worked the last 8 years to improve the lives of the middle class.
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