CFN 2006 SEC Schedule Analysis

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by kcal, Feb 13, 2006.

  1. kcal

    kcal Founding Member

    n/m
    2006 SEC Schedule[FONT=verdana, arial,
    sans serif][SIZE=-1]
    [​IMG]
    [/SIZE][/FONT] [FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif]2006 SEC Team Schedule[/FONT]
    Top Ten Games
    1. LSU at Florida, Sat. Oct. 7
    2.
    [SIZE=-1]LSU at Auburn, Sat. Sept. 16[/SIZE]
    3.
    [SIZE=-1]Auburn at Alabama, Sat. Nov. 18[/SIZE]
    4.
    [SIZE=-1]Florida at Tennessee, Sat. Sept. 16 [/SIZE]
    5.
    [SIZE=-1] Florida vs. Georgia, Sat. Oct. 28 [/SIZE]
    6.
    [SIZE=-1] Florida at Auburn, Sat. Oct. 14[/SIZE]
    7.
    [SIZE=-1]Florida at Florida State, Sat. Nov. 25[/SIZE]
    8.
    [SIZE=-1]Alabama at LSU, Sat. Nov. 11[/SIZE]
    9. Tennessee at Georgia, Sat. Oct. 7
    10.
    [SIZE=-1]Alabama at Florida, Sat. Sept. 30[/SIZE] Toughest schedules
    Based on home games as well as who the teams play.
    EAST
    1. Florida
    2. Kentucky
    3. Georgia
    4. Vanderbilt
    5. Tennessee
    6. South Carolina

    WEST
    1. LSU
    2. Arkansas
    3. Mississippi State
    4. Alabama
    5. Auburn
    6. Ole Miss

    East Division
    Florida
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 11-1
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
    Realistic record: 9-3
    The Gators don't get a true breather until late November, and that might be a good thing. Southern Miss and UCF should make them battle-tough before going on the road for the showdown against Tennessee. Five of the first six games in The Swamp, even with battles against Alabama and LSU, has to mean a big start before going to Auburn and facing Georgia. It's hard to come up with three nastier road games for a national title contender than at Tennessee, at Auburn and at Florida State.
    Sept. 2 Southern Miss
    Sept. 9 UCF
    Sept. 16 at Tennessee
    Sept. 23 Kentucky
    Sept. 30 Alabama
    Oct. 7 LSU
    Oct. 14 at Auburn
    Oct. 28 vs. Georgia (Jacksonville)
    Nov. 4 at Vanderbilt
    Nov. 11 South Carolina
    Nov. 18 Western Carolina
    Nov. 25 at Florida State
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Georgia
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 11-1
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
    Realistic record: 9-3
    Even though the team appears to be a little bit down compared to past seasons, the schedule will help the cause. South Carolina might be good, but there's no real reason the Dawgs should shoot for anything less than a 5-0 start before facing Tennessee. Even so, this is a favorable slate with the toughest road game at Auburn, and that doesn't come until November. East teams don't get much more of a break than playing Ole Miss and Mississippi State from the West.
    Sept. 2 Western Kentucky
    Sept. 9 at South Carolina
    Sept. 16 UAB
    Sept. 23 Colorado
    Sept. 30 at Ole Miss
    Oct. 7 Tennessee
    Oct. 14 Vanderbilt
    Oct. 21 Mississippi State
    Oct. 28 vs. Florida (Jacksonville)
    Nov. 4 at Kentucky
    Nov. 11 at Auburn
    Nov. 25 Georgia Tech
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Kentucky
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 3-9
    Realistic record: 5-7
    The always nasty SEC slate is softened up by home games against Texas State, Central Michigan and UL Monroe. Considering UK probably can't hang with the biggest of the conference big boys, playing Florida, LSU and Tennessee on the road isn't a bad thing. Getting Ole Miss and Mississippi State from the West is a huge break. A bowl game is very possible with this schedule, but there will have to be an upset against either South Carolina or Georgia to make it happen.
    Sept. 2 at Louisville
    Sept. 9 Texas State
    Sept. 16 Ole Miss
    Sept. 23 at Florida
    Sept. 30 Central Michigan
    Oct. 7 South Carolina
    Oct. 14 at LSU
    Oct. 28 at Mississippi State
    Nov. 4 Georgia
    Nov. 11 Vanderbilt
    Nov. 18 UL Monroe
    Nov. 25 at Tennessee
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    South Carolina
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
    Realistic record: 8-4
    If Steve Spurrier can work his magic and make the team a little bit better, the potential is there for an amazing start with the toughest games at home before going to Florida in mid-November. Georgia, Auburn, Tennessee and Arkansas are good, but the Gamecocks have to win at least two of those games in Columbia. Going to Clemson could be a very sour way to end the regular season.
    Aug. 31 at Mississippi State
    Sept. 9 Georgia
    Sept. 16 Wofford
    Sept. 23 Florida Atlantic
    Sept. 28 Auburn
    Oct. 7 at Kentucky
    Oct. 21 at Vanderbilt
    Oct. 28 Tennessee
    Nov. 4 Arkansas
    Nov. 11 at Florida
    Nov. 18 MTSU
    Nov. 25 at Clemson
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Tennessee
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 11-1
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
    Realistic record: 9-3
    This is a tougher schedule than it might get credit for. Sure, the Vols close out the year with three non-bowl teams, but at Arkansas, at Vanderbilt (we all remember what the Commodores did to UT last year), and Kentucky isn't a walk in the park. Playing Alabama and LSU from the West isn't a break, but they each travel to Knoxville. As long as they can come away from South Carolina with a win, the road slate isn't all that bad with Georgia the nastiest test. Opening at Cal could be a rude awakening.
    Sept. 2 California
    Sept. 9 Air Force
    Sept. 16 Florida
    Sept. 23 Marshall
    Sept. 30 at Memphis
    Oct. 7 at Georgia
    Oct. 21 Alabama
    Oct. 28 at South Carolina
    Nov. 4 LSU
    Nov. 11 at Arkansas
    Nov. 18 at Vanderbilt
    Nov. 25 Kentucky
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Vanderbilt
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 6-6
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 2-10
    Realistic record: 4-8
    Without Jay Cutler, the Commodores are going to need time to work the kinks out of the offense. They won't get it going on the road to face Michigan and Alabama before facing Arkansas. After the layup against Kent State, there's not a sure thing over the second half of the season with the easy games against Duke and Kentucky on the road.
    Sept. 2 at Michigan
    Sept. 9 at Alabama
    Sept. 16 Arkansas
    Sept. 23 Tennessee State
    Sept. 30 Kent State
    Oct. 7 at Ole Miss
    Oct. 14 at Georgia
    Oct. 21 South Carolina
    Oct. 28 at Duke
    Nov. 4 Florida
    Nov. 11 at Kentucky
    Nov. 18 Tennessee
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    West Division
    Alabama
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
    Realistic record: 9-3
    As always, Alabama doesn't play that many road games with eight dates at home, and up until the regular season ender against Auburn, it could be the easiest home slate of any BCS conference team. However, the four road games are brutal facing Arkansas, Florida, Tennessee and LSU. Hawaii's offense will be a nice test to start the season, while Vanderbilt and UL Monroe will be nice layups before dealing with the Hogs and Gators. There's no reason the Tide can't have the West title in its own hands going into the showdowns with LSU and Auburn.
    Sept. 2 Hawaii
    Sept. 9 Vanderbilt
    Sept. 16 UL Monroe
    Sept. 23 at Arkansas
    Sept. 30 at Florida
    Oct. 7 Duke
    Oct. 14 Ole Miss
    Oct. 21 at Tennessee
    Oct. 28 FIU
    Nov. 4 Mississippi State
    Nov. 11 at LSU
    Nov. 18 Auburn
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Arkansas
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 5-7
    Realistic record: 7-5
    The Hogs can make an immediate statement with USC and Utah each coming to Fayetteville. There's nothing whatsoever to complain about with the SE schedule missing Georgia and Florida from the North with road dates at Vanderbilt, South Carolina and Mississippi State. O.K., so there's a nasty battle at Auburn, but Houston Nutt's club gets Alabama, Tennessee and LSU at home.Sept. 2 USC
    Sept. 9 Utah
    Sept. 16 at Vanderbilt
    Sept. 23 Alabama
    Oct. 7 at Auburn
    Oct. 14 SE Missouri State
    Oct. 21 Ole Miss
    Oct. 28 UL Monroe (at Little Rock)
    Nov. 4 at South Carolina
    Nov. 11 Tennessee
    Nov. 18 at Mississippi State
    Nov. 25 LSU (at Little Rock)
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Auburn
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 12-0
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
    Realistic record: 10-2
    This is a national-title friendly slate with an excellent mix of cupcakes and tough, national-respect battles. A win over Washington State in the opener will look better in November than it will in September. LSU, Arkansas, Florida and Georgia all have to come to Jordan-Hare, while the road games aren't that bad before the regular season finale at Alabama playing at Mississippi State, South Carolina and Ole Miss. Buffalo, Tulane and Arkansas State provide some big breathers in the midst of the SEC schedule.
    Sept. 2 Washington State
    Sept. 9 at Mississippi State
    Sept. 16 LSU
    Sept. 23 Buffalo
    Sept. 28 at South Carolina
    Oct. 7 Arkansas
    Oct. 14 Florida
    Oct. 21 Tulane
    Oct. 28 at Ole Miss
    Nov. 4 Arkansas State
    Nov. 11 Georgia
    Nov. 18 at Alabama
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    LSU
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 11-1
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
    Realistic record: 10-2
    At Auburn, at Florida, at Tennessee, and at an improved Arkansas will be enough to keep the Tigers from playing for the national title, while there are some nasty home tests against Arizona, Fresno State and Alabama. However, the four road games are spread out nicely, so if they can get by Auburn, a 5-0 start is a near-lock before going to Gainesville. Getting Kentucky from the North is a plus.
    Sept. 2 UL Lafayette
    Sept. 9 Arizona
    Sept. 16 at Auburn
    Sept. 23 Tulane
    Sept. 30 Mississippi State
    Oct. 7 at Florida
    Oct. 14 Kentucky
    Oct. 21 Fresno State
    Nov. 4 at Tennessee
    Nov. 11 Alabama
    Nov. 18 Ole Miss
    Nov. 25 at Arkansas (Little Rock)
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Ole Miss
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
    Realistic record: 6-6
    Considering Missouri should need a few games to work the kinks out, a 5-1 start isn't out of the realm of possibility for the Rebels. However, the second half of the season has the potential to be a bear with road trips to Alabama, Arkansas and LSU along with a home date against Auburn. Playing Kentucky and Vanderbilt from the East is a nice break.
    Sept. 2 Memphis
    Sept. 9 at Missouri
    Sept. 16 at Kentucky
    Sept. 23 Wake Forest
    Sept. 30 Georgia
    Oct. 7 Vanderbilt
    Oct. 14 at Alabama
    Oct. 21 at Arkansas
    Oct. 28 Auburn
    Nov. 4 Northwestern State
    Nov. 18 at LSU
    Nov. 25 Mississippi State
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way

    Mississippi State
    Realistic best case record with this schedule: 8-4
    Barring total disaster worst case record: 3-9
    Realistic record: 5-7
    MSU has to come out roaring to be any sort of a player in the SEC race opening at home against South Carolina followed up by a West date against Auburn. Five of the final nine games are on the road with West Virginia and Arkansas at home, so there can't be any slips against teams like Tulane, UAB and Kentucky. At least one SEC road upset will be needed to have any shot of a bowl game.
    Aug. 31 South Carolina
    Sept. 9 Auburn
    Sept. 16 Tulane
    Sept. 23 at UAB
    Sept. 30 at LSU
    Oct. 7 West Virginia
    Oct. 14 Jacksonville State
    Oct. 21 at Georgia
    Oct. 28 Kentucky
    Nov. 4 at Alabama
    Nov. 18 Arkansas
    Nov. 25 at Ole Miss
    - Almost certain win | Likely loss | Could go either way
     

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