http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tm...today/bushsjobapprovalratingclimbsbackabove50 "No president who was at or above 50% at this point in an election year has lost." It will end up being about 55-58 percent by election time.....can you say "landslide"?
Well if the approval rating is indeed 55 percent, then it will be a landslide. That part is not being optimistic. The 55 percent is, however. But within reason. Look for the employment rate to hover right above 5 % by then, maybe 5.1 or 5.2. That could be a major deciding factor. It's 5.5 now, if I am not mistaken.
I think its going to be close. It was close last time. I don't think that the 50% of the population that voted for Gore have become Bush supporters in the last four years. The question is whether or not Bush can swing the moderates, who have voted with the democrats for three straight elections. He probably had them after 9/11, but has lost very many after Iraq. Pew Research says that 32% of the US population is conservative, 38% is moderate, and 17% is liberal. With a 50/50 popular vote last election, clearly more moderates were voting Democratic. Will they vote for Bush this time? who knows? But someone is going to win this one with a tiny margin. Landslide is not a term anybody is going to be using to describe this election.
17% of the country is liberal?? And we wonder what's wrong with Americans today. I know 17% isn't much, but that's wayyy to many wack-jobs for me.
He has had above 50% in a few polls for the last month. Ironically, FoxNews has him at 44% the lowest I've seen recently. I can see a landslide, I'll go ahead and predict one. I can't wait for the expressions on Dan Rather, Tom Brokaw, and Peter Jennings faces when they have to call Maine for Bush at 7pm. The radical left will have a collective mental breakdown. It'll be like in the book Bias how all the New York journalists were saying after the '84 Reagan blowout "How could he win, I don't know a single person who voted for him." That's what I figured the numbers would look like. I think Bush will of course get most of the conservatives, plus at least half of the moderates. No matter what the polls say now about the economy, education, or healthcare come November 2 the only issue that will matter is the War on Terror. Bush will win.
