Best estimated guess of BCS Standings

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by islstl, Nov 26, 2006.

  1. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Based on coaches polls and the 2 computer polls already out:

    1. Ohio State
    2. USC
    3. Michigan
    4. Florida
    5. LSU
    6. Louisville
    7. Wisconsin
    8. Boise St
    9. Arkansas
    10. Auburn
    11. Notre Dame
    12. Rutgers
    13. Oklahoma
    14. West Virginia
    15. Virginia Tech
    16. Texas

    If Notre Dame gets a favorable Harris poll ranking, they could overtake Auburn. Same for Oklahoma overtaking Rutgers. Other than that, I really think this is it.

    Our lead over Louisville should be somewhere in the vacinity of .790 vs. .765. Basically we're safe at being no worse than #5 even with a Louisville win next week.

    USC and Florida losing next week without a doubt elevates LSU to #3 in the BCS. USC's loss to an unranked UCLA will be too much to be any higher than 4th (more likely drop all the way to 6th behind Louisville and Wisconsin).
     
  2. KajunKenny

    KajunKenny Founding Member

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    I would have to agree with that. As a tiger fan how can we complain about being top 5 or 6 with the schedule we had this year? Sure we all know what coulda been but in retrospect, we still had a great year!!!
     
  3. Lil Jules

    Lil Jules Founding Member

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    The way I see it, it appears that we are almost guaranteed a BCS bid. If Florida loses, then we jump into the top 4 and a guaranteed a BCS bid. If Fla wins, then we don't have to fight with them for an at large bid and we probably get in. Unless we drop for being idle, I think we'll be smelling roses come January.
     
  4. chele

    chele Founding Member

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    So if we're #5 this week, does this mean that no matter what happens in the SEC champ, we'll likely be in the BCS?

    Florida wins - we get at large
    Florida loses - we move up to #4 and get guaranteed spot

    (*woohoo!* Finally made it to 100 posts!)
     
  5. areed7

    areed7 Founding Member

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    I was just corrected in another thread...
    Michigan would get the "Garanteed" top 4 spot. We'd still need a choice from the at large pile.
     
  6. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    No the guaranteed spot thing is not being understood correctly (notwithstanding areed's post).

    If Michigan stays at #3 with a USC win over UCLA, they get the automatic bid for being #3. The BCS does not then allow the #4 team to do the same thing (won't give that kind of automatic bid to 2 different teams, only one).

    So we would need USC to lose to get an automatic bid. Has absolutely nothing to do with Florida.

    Florida wins, USC loses, here is your BCS:

    1. Ohio State
    2. Michigan
    3. Florida
    4. LSU
    5. Louisville
    6. Wisconsin
    7. USC

    LSU gets an auto-bid in this case. Florida winning or losing just means we finish either #3 or #4, in which we get the auto-bid for either case with the USC loss.

    USC losing gets us in automatically and makes it a USC vs. LSU Rose Bowl. I will never be rooting harder for a team than I will Saturday at 3:30 for UCLA.
     
  7. CajunPunk

    CajunPunk TF's Resident Realist

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    Do we leap frog Wisconsin or are they not even there?
     
  8. blindside517

    blindside517 Founding Member

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    So no matter what happens next week...we're gonna be sitting pretty reguardless?
     
  9. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    what do you mean?
     
  10. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    Wisconsin doesn't really matter as Michigan and tOSU will take the two spots for the big ten. No conference can have three participants.
     

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