Based on coaches polls and the 2 computer polls already out: 1. Ohio State 2. USC 3. Michigan 4. Florida 5. LSU 6. Louisville 7. Wisconsin 8. Boise St 9. Arkansas 10. Auburn 11. Notre Dame 12. Rutgers 13. Oklahoma 14. West Virginia 15. Virginia Tech 16. Texas If Notre Dame gets a favorable Harris poll ranking, they could overtake Auburn. Same for Oklahoma overtaking Rutgers. Other than that, I really think this is it. Our lead over Louisville should be somewhere in the vacinity of .790 vs. .765. Basically we're safe at being no worse than #5 even with a Louisville win next week. USC and Florida losing next week without a doubt elevates LSU to #3 in the BCS. USC's loss to an unranked UCLA will be too much to be any higher than 4th (more likely drop all the way to 6th behind Louisville and Wisconsin).
I would have to agree with that. As a tiger fan how can we complain about being top 5 or 6 with the schedule we had this year? Sure we all know what coulda been but in retrospect, we still had a great year!!!
The way I see it, it appears that we are almost guaranteed a BCS bid. If Florida loses, then we jump into the top 4 and a guaranteed a BCS bid. If Fla wins, then we don't have to fight with them for an at large bid and we probably get in. Unless we drop for being idle, I think we'll be smelling roses come January.
So if we're #5 this week, does this mean that no matter what happens in the SEC champ, we'll likely be in the BCS? Florida wins - we get at large Florida loses - we move up to #4 and get guaranteed spot (*woohoo!* Finally made it to 100 posts!)
I was just corrected in another thread... Michigan would get the "Garanteed" top 4 spot. We'd still need a choice from the at large pile.
No the guaranteed spot thing is not being understood correctly (notwithstanding areed's post). If Michigan stays at #3 with a USC win over UCLA, they get the automatic bid for being #3. The BCS does not then allow the #4 team to do the same thing (won't give that kind of automatic bid to 2 different teams, only one). So we would need USC to lose to get an automatic bid. Has absolutely nothing to do with Florida. Florida wins, USC loses, here is your BCS: 1. Ohio State 2. Michigan 3. Florida 4. LSU 5. Louisville 6. Wisconsin 7. USC LSU gets an auto-bid in this case. Florida winning or losing just means we finish either #3 or #4, in which we get the auto-bid for either case with the USC loss. USC losing gets us in automatically and makes it a USC vs. LSU Rose Bowl. I will never be rooting harder for a team than I will Saturday at 3:30 for UCLA.
Wisconsin doesn't really matter as Michigan and tOSU will take the two spots for the big ten. No conference can have three participants.