No, Arnsparger also had nine wins. Statistically interesting, perhaps, but meaningless as a forecast formula. The constants and the variables are different for each coach and you seek only an either/or result. If you flip a coin 99 times and it lands on heads, what are the chances it will land on tails on the next throw? 50-50. It's always 50-50. Results may vary on third year coaching records due to the variables of talent, schedule weather, luck, referees, etc., but the absolute probablilty of a season's success or failure (as measured by 9 wins) will always be 50%.
My bad. Right there in front of me and I missed it! I found it interesting only from a statistical standpoint. I wasn't basing a thing on it, no prognostications, just a thought... I doubt we'll see it come to fruition...but, that's why the games are played, eh?
I just noticed, in the top 28 games, they picked the home team to win on every game except USC games. Florida/Georgia & Texas/Oklahoma are played on neutral fields. USC is the only team in the top 28 games that they think is gonna be able to win a big game on the road. (neutral field games not included)
That may be because USC has had some success on the road the last few years. Arkansas, Auburn, nd, VaTech in Maryland, BYU, Colorado, plus the in conference road games (last year's beaver blunder and the utla debacle notwithstanding). I think it's also making a positive statement about how significant the home field advantage is in the SEC.
Regionally, it won't need any hype in the SEC. I saw on a Dolphin board last winter that the ranks of LSU fans will swell in S. Florida when we play Bama. Nationally, there will be a little curiosity with the final score, but most won't watch the game, but will check the final score after its over.
That all depends on who picks up the game, wouldn't you say? If CBS, as example, decides to show it that would make it a national broadcast.
That's a big part of it, for sure. But if it is picked up nationally, most of the nation won't care anyhow, unless the sports shows 'hype' it, which they would if it gets picked up. It's important to me and the rest of the LSU base, but I don't think it is any more than a little curious to an Iowa fan (Hawker can comment in a few minutes!), or a Washington Husky fan.
That's a good point, but one thing that crosses my mind is this. How often do you make it a point to watch the LF game on Saturday's if it isn't LSU playing? Personally, I'll keep an eye on it but very seldom do I watch from start to finish because most of those games are what I would call a marque match-up. Now, translate that over to Pac-10 country...would they watch WSU vs Witchita State or watch that SEC match-up. The sports shows will be hyping this game for a couple of weeks before the game...we can all count on that. ESPECIALLY, if it has SECW implications, which at that time of the year, most likely will.
