Rita's Path | Page 9 | TigerFan.com

DarkHornet · Sep 21, 2005

I'm looking at some recent satellite loops, and it looks like it's drifting to the WNW over the last few hours. Is it supposed to break that early? Or is this normal wobbling?

buffaloblue · Sep 21, 2005

Even if it hits over into Texas, anyone want to predict the kind of rain and wind that Baton Rouge will see on Saturday night?

geauxscott · Sep 21, 2005

DarkHornet said:

I'm looking at some recent satellite loops, and it looks like it's drifting to the WNW over the last few hours. Is it supposed to break that early? Or is this normal wobbling?
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I have noticed that as well.....its common for a strong hurricane like this to wobble, but it also seems to be more of a constant move toward the WNW. I know the High is supposedly weakening, maybe its weakening faster than anticipated. who knows?

geauxscott · Sep 21, 2005

buffaloblue said:

Even if it hits over into Texas, anyone want to predict the kind of rain and wind that Baton Rouge will see on Saturday night?
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In my honest opinion....if it hits Houston/Galveston or mainly anywhere East of there, i really don't see how this game is played Sat. night.

Crip*TEAM KATT · Sep 21, 2005

Check these out! This is from just a hour ago.

Pacific

Atlantic

Pretty amazing.

ScottyB28 · Sep 21, 2005

I think the game will definitely be played if it hits the Galv/houston area. There is no way Baton Rouge will get heavy winds if it hits that far east. It will definitely rain alot though.

StaceyO · Sep 21, 2005

The good news for the Baton Rouge area is that the high over North Texas is not expected to move off of us until Friday. We've had 100 degree weather all week, and tomorrow is set to be a record-breaker at 101. I think Texas is the target.

Wolf04 · Sep 21, 2005

From Weather.com

Hurricane Rita's rapid intensification cycle that began Tuesday afternoon continues. Top winds are up to 165 mph, now a category 5 hurricane. Rita's pressure has dramatically dropped to 904 millibars! Even as a large and extremely intense category 5 hurricane, further strengthening is possible as the atmosphere remains favorable for development over the next 24 hours. Rita is forecast to continue on a westward track through the Gulf of Mexico over the next 24 hours. A gradual turn toward the northwest is anticipated Thursday night and Friday. If there is any good news at this point, it is the fact that it is very difficult for a hurricane to maintain category 5 status for an lengthy period of time. Near-perfect to perfect atmospheric conditions are necessary for a category 5 hurricane to exist and these "perfect" conditions are first - difficult to come by and second - do not remain in place for a long period of time. So although Rita is currently a category 5 hurricane, fluctuations in intensity is likely. That being said, it is almost a certainty that Rita will make landfall as a large, intense, major hurricane with impacts extending well away from the center. Hurricane force winds extend 70 miles away from the center and tropical storm force winds extend 175 miles from the center. Landfall is possible late Friday or early Saturday along the Texas coast. Residents and tourists in locations such as Corpus Christi, Aransas Pass, San Jose Island, Matagorda Island, Port Lavaca, Port O'Connor, Bay City, Lake Jackson, Freeport, Galveston, Texas City, Houston, and Port Author should ALL prepare for a very dangerous landfalling major hurricane.
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There is some good news. Doesn't mean that people shouldn't worry, but the fact is that because it stregnthened so quickly and has so far to go to hit land it might not be as dangerous as it looks right now.

buffaloblue · Sep 21, 2005

From Weather.com

Quote:
Hurricane Rita's rapid intensification cycle that began Tuesday afternoon continues. Top winds are up to 165 mph, now a category 5 hurricane. Rita's pressure has dramatically dropped to 904 millibars! Even as a large and extremely intense category 5 hurricane, further strengthening is possible as the atmosphere remains favorable for development over the next 24 hours. Rita is forecast to continue on a westward track through the Gulf of Mexico over the next 24 hours. A gradual turn toward the northwest is anticipated Thursday night and Friday. If there is any good news at this point, it is the fact that it is very difficult for a hurricane to maintain category 5 status for an lengthy period of time. Near-perfect to perfect atmospheric conditions are necessary for a category 5 hurricane to exist and these "perfect" conditions are first - difficult to come by and second - do not remain in place for a long period of time. So although Rita is currently a category 5 hurricane, fluctuations in intensity is likely. That being said, it is almost a certainty that Rita will make landfall as a large, intense, major hurricane with impacts extending well away from the center. Hurricane force winds extend 70 miles away from the center and tropical storm force winds extend 175 miles from the center. Landfall is possible late Friday or early Saturday along the Texas coast. Residents and tourists in locations such as Corpus Christi, Aransas Pass, San Jose Island, Matagorda Island, Port Lavaca, Port O'Connor, Bay City, Lake Jackson, Freeport, Galveston, Texas City, Houston, and Port Author should ALL prepare for a very dangerous landfalling major hurricane.

There is some good news. Doesn't mean that people shouldn't worry, but the fact is that because it stregnthened so quickly and has so far to go to hit land it might not be as dangerous as it looks right now.
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The only problem with this, is that it may have a chance to weeken and then restregthen because it is soo far out.

Wolf04 · Sep 21, 2005

nm