Dodd's explaination

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by bhelmLSU, Nov 24, 2006.

  1. bhelmLSU

    bhelmLSU Founding Member Staff Member

    On Espn they said we are rooting for Florida St. and then Florida beating Arky. I dont see us getting in with this scenario:confused:



    The Tigers will pull for the Seminoles to upset SEC East champion Florida on Saturday in Tallahassee, lessening the Gators' appeal to the BCS bowls. Then they'll root for Florida to rebound and beat SEC West champ Arkansas in the league title game Dec. 2, which would almost guarantee LSU as the second SEC choice for a BCS bowl -- if the SEC gets two teams in. And, for good measure, they'll root for a Nevada upset of Boise State on Saturday and a random loss for Louisville and/or West Virginia as well. If some or all of those things comes to pass, LSU has a great chance of finding itself in the Rose Bowl for the first time ever, or the Orange Bowl for the first time in 24 years, or some other elite January locale.

    Here is the rest.
    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/columns/story?columnist=forde_pat&id=2674768
     
  2. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

    We CAN get in with that scenario. The logic behind it is in the event Florida should lose to Arkansas, we would rather Florida have 2 losses in succession, thus having them fall out of the top 14 and any BCS consideration. If they beat Florida State and then lose to Arkansas, then Florida hangs around in the #9 or #10 spot in the final BCS standings. They want to avoid LSU duking it out with Florida for a shot at the Orange (which is what this is all based on, remember the alleged talks between Bertman and the Orange). Florida did beat LSU, so that is definitely a possibility. I do not however, think the Rose would consider the Florida win over LSU, and would choose LSU over Florida to play Michigan or USC. Believe me, the Rose Bowl is pissing in their pants at a shot between LSU and either USC or Michigan. It's a dream matchup much like Texas and Michigan were 2 years ago.

    That part of the logic is easy to understand.

    What they don't think far enough ahead on is the fact that Notre Dame may ineed beat USC (if USC comes out flat/sluggish, anything could happen). Then if Boise State beats Nevada (Boise State favored), Louisville wins out (they are favored in their last 2 games) and W. Virginia wins out (they are favored in their last 2 games), then Michigan, Notre Dame, Boise State and W. Virginia get all 4 automatic bids. All 4 at-large bids are taken, automatically.

    So then what do you tell your kids about the Florida loss to FSU? You tell them they screwed our chances at a Rose Bowl appearance. That's what you tell them. All I have to say is be careful what you wish for, Mr Bertman.

    Florida needs to sit their happy ass in that #4 spot. Don't you dare move. I just have my doubts they can beat Arkansas. Maybe Arkansas is still kicking themselves about the LSU loss come next Saturday Night and plays like crap. Who knows.
     
  3. blindside517

    blindside517 Founding Member

    ND playing teams like army and navy has really prepared them for what there gonna face with USC......NOT! I look for them to get blown out of the water in this one.
     
  4. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

    My concern for Florida winning out is probably much ado about nothing since I believe Notre Dame will get embarrassed in front of a huge live audience come Saturday night. I would still be slightly concerned UCLA pulls the big upset over an over confident USC bunch the following week. In that case, it won't matter what Florida does, W. Virginia would be #4 in the BCS (at a minimum) and get that automatic bid. Then it's up to the Rose Bowl to choose LSU over Notre Dame, which I gotta believe they would. Otherwise someone will need to blow the Rose Bowl Stadium up.
     
  5. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

    Notre Dame's schedule:

    Army
    Navy
    Penn State
    Air Force
    Merchant Marines
    Michigan State
    Coast Guard
    The Reserves
    Purdue
    Regular Marines
    Department of Homeland Defense
    USC
     

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