For those who like to do a deep dive into the data, 538 provides tremendous volumes. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ Even the bookies are predicting a Biden win. https://bookies.com/news/presidential-election-odds-daily-tracker
It's hard to believe that enough voters want Kamala Harris to be president. Are they so stupid they think Sleepy Joe will live for 4 more years and not drown in his own drool. I could see moderates voting for a 60 or even 70 year old Biden but the man now has as much cognitive ability as a house plant.
I understand and don’t disagree. I think it shows how much Trump has alienated many who voted for him in 16. This isn’t a vote for Biden but one against Trump....probably the mirror of 2016.
People keep saying he has alienated voters but the recurring theme from these people is that they never liked Trump in the 1st place. You have no evidence of this. I have posted numerous times where HRC was up the same if not more than Biden at this current spot in the election.
I am just confused as why you use that as “evidence” Trump is losing. Literally same exact shit as last time. In fact, HRC was favored more than Biden currently is.
You've created this little narrative in your head that the polls were wrong in 2016 when in fact they were not. 47 out of 50 states all polled within the margin of error. The popular vote polls were exactly right. The only three polls that were wrong were in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin...and these by fractional amounts. By my math that means that the polls were right 48 out of 51 times in 2016. That's 94% correct. I suppose in your mind, by your math that the other 6% somehow equals that the polls were "all wrong." They were not. Further, Trump has a record now, which he did not four years ago. There is an inherent advantage to having no record because you can promise everything without being held to account. Trump did just that. Trump is also not running against Hillary Clinton this time, there is no e-mail scandal for Trump to use as a bludgeon, there is no 11th hour announcement by Jim Comey about reopening the investigation. More importantly, people aren't falling for his schtick a second time around. He tried to attack Biden's health as he did Clinton's...it didn't work. He tried to create a false scandal with Ukraine and it flopped because no one believes him anymore and because it simply isn't true. He has tried to use the DOJ to investigate former Obama officials but today his own DOJ concluded that there will be no charges filed in the "unmasking" investigation and Durham says he won't have anything by election day and never will. Trump is trying to use the exact same playbook he used against Clinton and it's is failing miserably. The fact that you keep leaning on 2016 and are so convinced that the dynamics of this race will play out exactly as it did in 2016 is just small-minded
