Not a dumb question at all. OSU's chances have risen in the past 2 weeks for going undefeated. They handled PSU and Wisconsin pretty handily. They look stronger than I thought they would. Illinois is a home game. Not likely to lose there. The Michigan game is their only chance. Michigan struggled against Mich St, although it was a road game and a heated rivalry (we all know about those). So I would say there is about a 50 percent chance for OSU to go undefeated.
Interesting, the PAC-10 always schedules their season to end the same time the other BCS conferences are playing their CCG. Coincidence? I would like to think not. Remember, USC destroyed Oregon State (I believe) in 03 the same day we beat Georgia in the SEC CG. In this manner, it is the hope that it takes away (just a bit) from a BCS conference winning team playing their CG.
You imply Kansas has already beaten OU this season. Colorado upset OU. I contend that if Kansas runs the table, they will be voted into the NC.
OSU struggled in the first half against Wisconsin. I believe the badgers were up by 10 or 14 points (can't remember) at one point. Then they fell apart in the second half and the crosseyes romped.
I am not using their undefeated status alone for a reason to jump us. I am also using the fact that they are in the Big 12. ANY undefeated SEC, Big 10, Big 12, PAC 10, or ACC team would go above any one loss team to take the #2 spot. The voters would not have it any other way (and with the current BCS, they are the ones that matter). By the end of the season, they will probably have played #4 OU and #7 Missouri. That is plenty. I am not saying that I think that they will do it, but if they do, we are toast. Also, no one is mentioning OU in all of this. If they win out, it seems pretty likely that there will be three 1 loss teams that will want that second place slot : LSU, UO, and OU.
People tend to like that goose egg in the loss column even if the team played a weak schedule. (It worked for BYU in 1984.) I contend that Kansas won't win out. Here's their 2007 schedule... Central Michigan W Southeastern Louisiana University W Toledo W Florida International W Kansas State W Baylor W Colorado W Texas A&M W Nebraska W @ Oklahoma State -17.5 Iowa State (2-8) Missouri (8-1) Big 12 Championship (possibly Oklahoma 8-1) Their current schedule strength is 107th in the nation. That's why they're not ranked any higher and could possibly keep them out of the title game even if they win out. I don't think it will be an issue because I really can't see them defeat Missouri and Oklahoma in consecutive weeks.
But Nebraska hung with them in the first qtr and a half and matched them in points. In the 2nd half Neb didn't do anything. Do you really think that the KU defense said our offense will outscore them, let's not worry about it. I believe most of Neb's points came in the 1st half, so you know the defense of KU was still trying. KU doesn't have much of an offense if Neb scores 34 on them.
KU is in for their first real games of the season. I'm interested to see what they're made of. I think they lose 2 of the next 3.
