Oregon has 3 remaining games: @Arizona 4-6 (This Thursday) @UCLA (5-4) Oregon State (5-4) LSU's remaining 4 games: Louisiana Tech Ole Miss (3-7) Arkansas (6-3) SECCG We need Arkansas to win out until they play us. If they beat Tennessee and MSU they will easily crack the top 25 at 8-3. Thus giving us our 7th top 25 team to play this year, with one more to come in the SECCG. I do not see Oregon jumping us. Islstl, any chance Oregon passes us?
If Arkansas becomes the 7th ranked team for LSU to play and we win out, that would make 9 ranked teams we've played in one season. Has any team in the History of College Football ever played 9 ranked teams before?
I was just about to post a thread on the importance of Arkansas beating UT. It serves two purposes, one of which is to knock a weak Tennessee team out of the SEC CG. We wouldn't gain much from beating a much inferior UT team vs beating a quality Georgia team in the CG. If you feel the game won't matter, which it may not, then pull for UT to win out because there is no way they will beat us. Style points are critical from here on out. For instance, let's say Oregon trounces UCLA 51-3 the same weekend we beat Ole Miss in 3 overtimes (41-35). That would definitely boost Oregon past LSU in the human polls, and maybe by a decent margin. There inlies the problem. Our computer polls are strong and we will beat Oregon in every computer poll. That's not even an issue. Kansas going undefeated poses the only threat to overtaking LSU. Again, LSU will probably stay ahead of Kansas in the computer polls, but the voters could put Kansas in the NC if they wanted to.
LSU controls its own destiny in every sense, but reversing the trend of close games/stupid penalties is key. With Oregon finishing up with a weak schedule and the possibility of LSU playing a ranked Arkansas and the East champion, the computers will still love us. But we also need the human polls to love us for the rest of the way. Kansas still has to play Missouri and, if they win the Big-12 North, OU. It'll be tough for them to win out, but even then, their SoS is still weak relative to LSU. If LSU can look good and win from here on out, the sky's the limit. The dinner table's set, our guys just have to chow down.
I have to disagree. LSU does not control its own destiny. Kansas or Ohio State needs to lose. Period. If they are both undefeated, they are in. I can't see how ANYONE can dispute that. Even if we win the last 4 games in dominating fashion, if those two are undefeated they will be (and deserve to be) in the MNC game. But we do control our destiny if one of those two actually lose. Pound everyone left and we are the top ranked 1 loss team. Neither Oregon nor OU would catch us.
The good news is that the computers are starting to dig us again. If LSU stays at #2 in the human polls, the Tigers should be bowling in NOLA again this year.
Besides arkansas we also need UGA to win remaining games as well to stay in BCS top 10 or possibily move up and make it to Atlanta.If we beat a top 10 ranked SEC team in SEC championship no way Oregon moves ahead of us.
If you're gonna use undefeated status as a reason for jumping us, you might as well put Hawaii in the title game. We don't necessarily need Kansas or tOSU to drop one. Kansas's toughest opponent to date was K. State, who was ranked #24 at the time, and have since dropped out of the Top 25. The rest of their schedule has been a joke. The computers will bear that out. But LSU needs "style points" over their next few opponents to cement that #2 position. Even if Kansas wins out, they'll have to have very strong showings over Missouri and the Big-12 South champ. Only if that happens and LSU struggles does Kansas jump us in the polls. Even undefeated, I think voters will be reluctant to jump the champion of a relatively soft Big 12 over that of a strong SEC. If anyone disputes that, consider that as of this week, 7 of 12 SEC teams are currently in the Top 25 in the AP and BCS rankings, the most of any conference (4 of whom we've already played, and either Tennessee or UGA in the SECCG).
Unless something drastic happens, and i mean REALLY drastic, LSU will be in the SECCG and bowling in NOLA. im 99.9% sure they will be. Now if we want to WIN the SECCG and make it to the BCSNC game instead of the sugar, then we need some nice wins. and a little outside help (kansas losing, and the rest of UO's opponets to at least put up a fight)