Election 2020

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by Tiger in NC, Jul 26, 2020.

  1. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    Alright...back on topic. Election day is one week away. Nearly 70 million votes have already been cast and we will not know until election day whether this is historic voter participation or simply folks taking advantage of a voting season rather than a single day. Today I am going to post the polling averages for each candidate in each state. I have defined a "swing" state as any state with a polling average of 5% or below as most margin of error for polling is either 3.5% or 4.5%. I use 5% to be safe. Of the states that are polling outside of that number Biden holds 267 electoral votes and Trump holds 108. Below I will list each state, it's current polling average and what the final vote percentage was for 2016.

    Trump
    Wyoming...polling 30 points ahead...won by 47.6 in 2016
    Arkansas...polling 21.5 points ahead...won by 26.6 in 2016
    West Virginia...polling 20 points ahead...won by 38.2 in 2016
    Oklahoma...polling 20 points ahead...won by 36.4 in 2016
    Mississippi...polling 20 points ahead...won by 18.6 in 2016
    Idaho...polling 20 points ahead...won by 31.6 in 2016
    Louisiana...polling 20 points ahead...won by 19.7 in 2016
    Alabama...polling 20 points ahead...won by 28.3 in 2016
    North Dakota...polling 19.5 points ahead...won by 36.4 in 2016
    Tennessee...polling 18 points ahead...won by 26.2 in 2016
    Kentucky...polling 17 points ahead...won by 29.8 in 2016
    Utah...polling 11 points ahead...won by 17.9 in 2016
    South Dakota...polling 10.5 ahead...won by 29.8 in 2016
    Kansas...polling 8 points ahead...won by 21 in 2016
    Nebraska...polling 8 points ahead...won by 26.3 in 2016
    Indiana...polling 7 points ahead...won by 19.7 in 2016
    Missouri...polling 7 points ahead...won by 19.1 in 2016
    Montana...polling 6.2 points ahead...won by 20.5 in 2016
    Alaska...polling 5.8 points ahead...won by 15.2 in 2016

    Biden
    District of Columbia...polling 78 points ahead...won by 88.7 in 2016
    Massachusets...polling 37.5 points ahead...won by 27.3 in 2016
    Rhode Island...polling 37 points ahead...won by 15.6 in 2016
    Vermont...polling 35 points ahead...won by 28.5 in 2016
    Hawaii...polling 33 points ahead...won by 32.2 in 2016
    New York...polling32 points ahead...won by 21.3 in 2016
    Connecticut...polling 30 points ahead...won by 13.3 in 2016
    Maryland...polling 28.3 points ahead...won by 25.2 in 2016
    California...polling 26.3 points ahead...won by 28.8 in 2016
    Delaware...polling 22.5 points ahead...won by 11.5 in 2016
    Washington...polling 22 points ahead...won by 16.2 in 2016
    Oregon...polling 19.5 points ahead...won by 10.6 in 2016
    Illinois...polling 18 points ahead...won by 16 in 2016
    New Jersey...polling 17.5 points ahead...won by 13.2 in 2016
    New Mexico...polling 14 points ahead...won by 8.3 in 2016
    Virginia...polling 13 points ahead...won by 4.9 in 2016
    Colorado...polling 12 points ahead...won by 2.8 in 2016
    Maine...polling 10.5 points ahead...won by 2.7 in 2016
    New Hampshire...polling 9.8 points ahead...won by .04 in 2016
    Wisconsin...polling 9.4 points ahead...lost by 1 in 2016
    Michigan...polling 7.5 points ahead...lost by 0.3 in 2016
    Minnesota...polling 7.5 points ahead...won by 1.5 in 2016
    Nevada...polling 6.4 points ahead...won by 2.4 in 2016

    Toss Ups
    Arizona...Biden polling 2.3 points ahead...Trump won by 4.1 in 2016
    Texas...Trump polling 1 point ahead...Trump won by 9.2 in 2016
    Iowa...Candidates are tied...Trump won by 9.6 in 2016
    Ohio...Trump polling 0.8 points ahead...Trump won by 8.6 in 2016
    Pennsylvania...Biden polling 5 points ahead...Trump won by 1.2 in 2016
    North Carolina...Biden polling 1.4 points ahead...Trump won by 3.8 in 2016
    South Carolina...Trump polling 5 points ahead...Trump won by 14.1 in 2016
    Georgia...Trump polling 0.6 points ahead. Trump won by 5.7 in 2016
    Florida...Biden polling 1 point ahead...Trump won by 1.3 in 2016

    One other caveat...Biden is only ahead of Trump by 1.5% in Maine's second district, which Trump won in 2016. Biden is ahead by 7 points in Nebraska's second distrtict.

    One more week!
    https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/
     
  2. mancha

    mancha Alabama morghulis

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    Tiger in NC likes this.
  3. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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    Interesting take on the loyalty of Trump’s Support. I understand and to a great extent agree but can’t abide the solution. Middle Finger Election
    One Week To Go
    [​IMG]
    Charlie Sykes

    Oct 27 [​IMG] [​IMG]


    If Trump wins, explains Rich Lowry, the editor of the journal founded by William F. Buckley Jr., it will be because he is “The Only Middle Finger Available.”

    Voters will back Trump not because he stands athwart history, yelling “Stop,” or because he offers a compelling vision of a Trumpian Morning in America, writes Lowry, but because he is a giant opportunity to say F*ck You to the media, academia, Hollywood, professional athletes, and entire world of woke culture.

    He’s not wrong.

    Welcome to the Countdown Journal. There are 7 days to go until Election Day, and then 78 days until the Inauguration.

    Lowry’s argument is part description and part rationalization. He notes that the middle finger “may not be a very good reason to vote for a president, and it doesn’t excuse Trump’s abysmal conduct and maladministration.”

    But, he explains, “Trump is, for better or worse, the foremost symbol of resistance to the overwhelming woke cultural tide.” He has become the anointed vessel “for registering opposition to everything from the 1619 Project to social media’s attempted suppression of the Hunter Biden story.”

    To put it in blunt terms, for many people, he’s the only middle finger available — to brandish against the people who’ve assumed they have the whip hand in American culture.

    The tweets, the insults, the bullying aren’t the bugs; they are just different versions of the middle finger — and his people love it. Conservative ideas are just the gloss.

    I suspect that Buckley himself would’ve had a different word for this: nihilism.

    But we are also seeing the devolution of the right, from Buckley, to Reagan, to the Flight 93 election, and now to the Election of the Raised Middle Finger. On this trajectory, 2024 will be The Grunt and Head-Butt Election (an essay by Victor Davis Hanson).

    But the raised middle finger is a useful image, because it also manages to describe what a Trump second term would look like.

    As Axios reported “a win next week, no matter the margin, will embolden Trump to ax anyone he sees as constraining him from enacting desired policies or going after perceived enemies.”

    He is already planning a festival of retribution, which includes firing FBI Director Christopher Wray, CIA Director Gina Haspel, and Defense Secretary Mark Esper, reports Axios. A safely re-elected Trump would also be unleashed to turn the Department of Justice into a weapon of political revenge.

    He has already signaled his plans to gut much of the Civil Service, issuing an order “that strips job protections from employees in policy roles across the government.”

    Beyond that? There is no second term economic plan. The debt and deficit? No idea at all. He will likely purge more medical experts and continue to wield his magical thinking against the coronavirus until we get a vaccine. Hundreds of thousands of Americans will die and the economy will be weighed down for years.

    On immigration, expect more cruelty, as there be no one to dissuade Trump from his pet ideas that include things like sharpened spikes on his new Wall. He may pull out of NATO. The corruption will continue, and Republicans will look the other way.

    And none of this will come as a surprise, because everyone will have understood what the election was really all about.

    Trump never pretended that he had a second term agenda. Last summer, longtime fluffer Sean Hannity served up a softball question when he asked Trump “What are your top priority items for a second term?"

    This was Trump’s full answer. Savor it:

    "Well, one of the things that will be really great -- you know, the word experience is still good. I always say talent is more important than experience, I've always said that. But the word experience is a very important word. It's a very important meaning. I never did this before. I never slept over in Washington. I was in Washington, I think, 17 times, all of a sudden, I'm president of the United States. You know the story, I'm riding down Pennsylvania Avenue with our first lady and I say, this is great. But I didn't know very many people in Washington. It wasn't my thing. I was from Manhattan, from New York. Now, I know everybody and I have great people in the administration. You make some mistakes like, you know, an idiot like Bolton. All he wanted to do was drop bombs on everybody. You don't have to drop bombs on everybody. You don't have to kill people."

    Afterward, he was given multiple chances to give a better answer, but he never did.
    [​IMG]
     
  4. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    Is posting a link to other peoples work hard for some of you?

    Aint no body got time for all that my man.
     
  5. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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    Yes my thumb gets tired. I just post it for your enjoyment sport.
     
  6. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    I mean looks like word vomit.
     
  7. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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    You mean it has too many big words for you?
     
  8. Jmg

    Jmg Veteran Member

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    is the biden laptop "russian disinformation"?
     
  9. Frogleg

    Frogleg Registered Best

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    Most people know why riots sprung up in Philly - some polls have Trump winning. DNC operatives have instigated this to push fear and people away from Trump. It's disgusting. Frankly, from what i've witnessed this year i'll probably never pull the switch for a Democrat again.

    https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-102520/

    capturePennPoll.JPG
     
  10. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    No I just dont know why you can just simply post a link instead of word for word articles. Or take out and only post parts you think key.

    No one reads all that.
     

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